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The bracket model that picked Duke now picks Michigan. The full stacked ensemble says Michigan 66.9%. A late-round specialist model trained only on Elite Eight, Final Four, and championship games says Michigan 78.1%. Ten thousand Monte Carlo simulations were unanimous. The only catch: UConn has already beaten this model’s picks twice.
The machine learning bracket model went 5-for-8 in the Sweet 16 and 2-for-4 in the Elite Eight. Then Duke’s championship prediction died on Braylon Mullins’ three-pointer with under a second left. The Final Four is set: UConn vs. Illinois, Arizona vs. Michigan.
